{"id":55208,"date":"2019-07-30T12:08:10","date_gmt":"2019-07-30T01:08:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/afl.draftcentral.localhost\/?p=55208"},"modified":"2019-07-30T12:11:04","modified_gmt":"2019-07-30T01:11:04","slug":"nab-league-boys-run-home-how-the-13-teams-sit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/2019\/07\/30\/nab-league-boys-run-home-how-the-13-teams-sit\/","title":{"rendered":"NAB League Boys run home: How the 13 teams sit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>JUST 10 games remain in the regular season of the NAB League Boys, with six sides having a single match remaining in season 2019 prior to the post-season series. With Tasmania Devils included in the competition this year, only the top three sides receive a week off over Wildcard Round, while fourth to thirteenth play-off in a knockout round for the right to play finals. From there it is pure elimination over three weeks with the top two teams making the grand final.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1 Eastern Ranges<\/p>\n<p>13G | 10W \/ 3L | 154% | 40 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Dandenong Stingrays, Calder Cannons<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 1st<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 3rd<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 1st<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Unless the Ranges completely fall from grace and drop both remaining games, they should have a top two spot which is the most important thing. They could drop to third if Oakleigh Chargers can win both, but if Sandringham win in the final round, the percentage gap between the Ranges and both the Dragons and Chargers is just too much even for farfetched possibilities.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2 Gippsland Power<\/p>\n<p>14G | 10W \/ 4L | 123% | 40 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Bye, Bendigo Pioneers<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 1st<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 4th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 2nd<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Just cruising at the moment with a game to play, they cannot afford to drop their match to the Pioneers, particularly if somehow Oakleigh can bridge the nine per cent gap, and Sandringham beat the Chargers in the final round. It is difficult to see it happen though, and the Power look pretty destined for a top two spot.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3 Sandringham Dragons<\/p>\n<p>14G | 9W \/ 5L | 138% | 36 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Bye, Oakleigh Chargers<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 2nd<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 6th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 3rd<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Dragons cannot grab top spot given the percentage difference, and ultimately must defeat Oakleigh for third spot. A loss and they meet Geelong in the Wildcard Round, while a win and they can have a break whilst awaiting their opponent for the first week of finals.<\/p>\n<p><strong>4 Oakleigh Chargers<\/p>\n<p>13G | 9W \/ 4L | 114% | 36 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Western Jets, Sandringham Dragons<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 1st<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 6th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 4th<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Based on form the Chargers should be able to claim the points against Western, and then a full-strength potential grand final preview with Sandringham will decide who gets a week off. With Eastern and Gippsland likely to lock up top two spots, the winner of the clash with the Dragons gets a week off, while the loser will face Geelong.<\/p>\n<p><strong>5 Calder Cannons<\/p>\n<p>14G | 9W \/ 5L | 94% | 36 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Bye, Eastern Ranges<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 4th<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 6th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 5th<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Calder faces a tough final game against the likely minor premiers, and a loss could see them slip to sixth if the Jets win one of their two games. Given Oakleigh and Sandringham face off in the final round, the Cannons cannot grab a top three spot, and will instead face one of Geelong, Tasmania or GWV Rebels in the Wildcard Round.<\/p>\n<p><strong>6 Western Jets<\/p>\n<p>13G | 8W \/ 5L | 100% | 32 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Oakleigh Chargers, Northern Knights<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 4th<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 8th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 7th<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Fourth spot is not out of the question, but they have to cause an upset against Oakleigh this week. There is every chance a full-strength Sandringham topple Oakleigh in the final round, and Eastern will likely defeat Calder, paving the way for Western to snatch fourth. It hardly matters with the extra team in the competition as it means a clash with Geelong instead of a week off. If they win one, they face GWV Rebels or Tasmania in the Wildcard Round, and id they lose both, it will likely be Bendigo.<\/p>\n<p><strong>7 Northern Knights<\/p>\n<p>14G | 7W \/ 7L | 102% | 28 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Bye, Western Jets<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 6th<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 10th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 6th<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Will know what is on the line come their game in the final round with a number of teams below them chasing their spot. A win against the Jets should see them secure sixth unless unlikely results happen elsewhere. That means a Wildcard Round date with the GWV Rebels (or possibly Tasmania) &#8211; 12 months on from the disappointment last year against the Rebels, the Knights will be keen to atone.<\/p>\n<p><strong>8 Dandenong Stingrays<\/p>\n<p>13G | 6W \/ 6L \/ 1D | 97% | 26 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Eastern Ranges, Geelong Falcons<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 6th<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 10th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 8th<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>With two games in hand but an unwanted losing streak in-toe, the Stingrays will be keen to resurrect their form ahead of finals. They play the two bookends which will likely yield one win, which ensures they at least face a side outside the top eight. If Northern lose to Western, they grab seventh and likely face Bendigo instead of Murray.<\/p>\n<p><strong>9 Murray Bushrangers<\/p>\n<p>14G | 6W \/ 8L | 100% | 24 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Bye, GWV Rebels<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 7th<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 11th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 9th<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A fairly simple scenario providing the Bushrangers can win in the final round, with them grabbing a top eight spot if Northern goes down to Western. If Dandenong somehow loses both its games &#8211; including to cellar dwellers Geelong, then the Bushrangers can move as high as seventh and play Bendigo in the Wildcard Round. More likely they faced Dandenong or Northern though.<\/p>\n<p><strong>10 Bendigo Pioneers<\/p>\n<p>13G | 5W \/ 8L | 103% | 20 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: GWV Rebels, Gippsland Power<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 7th<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 12th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 10th<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Barring a capitulation in the final fortnight, they should hold onto tenth at a worst case scenario, simply because of their superior percentage of 103. They are evenly poised with the Rebels and could leap ahead of Murray temporarily, but need the Rebels to beat Murray and Western to beat Northern &#8211; while beating Gippsland themselves &#8211; to secure a top eight spot.<\/p>\n<p><strong>11 GWV Rebels<\/p>\n<p>13G | 4W \/ 9L | 85% | 16 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Bendigo Pioneers, Murray Bushrangers<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 9th<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 12th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 11th<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Everyone loves a good mathematical probability, but in realism, the Rebels have to make up 15 per cent to make ninth spot. Given Murray&#8217;s improvement, the Rebels likely remain eleventh, with the percentage gap too much to bridge to move up a spot even with a win over the equally placed Pioneers.<\/p>\n<p><strong>12 Tasmania Devils<\/p>\n<p>14G | 4W \/ 10L | 80% | 16 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Geelong Falcons, Bye<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 10th<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 12th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 12th<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Devils will want to finish the season off strong with a win in the bottom two clash, and can leapfrog the Rebels with a victory. They will likely face Calder Cannons, Western Jets or Northern Knights in the Wildcard Round depending on other results.<\/p>\n<p><strong>13 Geelong Falcons<\/p>\n<p>13G | 1W \/ 11L \/ 1D | 72% | 6 pts<\/p>\n<p>Run home: Tasmania Devils, Dandenong Stingrays<br \/>\nBest possible finish: 13th<br \/>\nWorst possible finish: 13th<br \/>\nPredicted finish: 13th<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Geelong cannot move from the bottom of the ladder, and will face the fourth placed side in the Wildcard round which looms most likely to be Oakleigh Chargers or Sandringham Dragons depending on the result of the Round 17 clash between the two sides.<\/p>\n<p><strong>If predictions pan out&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Eastern, Gippsland and Sandringham have the bye in Wildcard Round.<\/p>\n<p>Oakleigh Chargers vs. Geelong Falcons (winner plays Calder\/Tasmania)<br \/>\nCalder Cannons vs. Tasmania Devils (winner plays Oakleigh\/Geelong)<br \/>\nNorthern Knights vs. GWV Rebels (winner plays Sandringham)<br \/>\nWestern Jets vs. Bendigo Pioneers (winner plays Gippsland)<br \/>\nDandenong Stingrays vs. Murray Bushrangers (winner plays Eastern)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>JUST 10 games remain in the regular season of the NAB League Boys, with six sides having a single match remaining in season 2019 prior to the post-season series. With Tasmania Devils included in the competition this year, only the top three sides receive a week off over Wildcard Round, while fourth to thirteenth play-off [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":54953,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7949,8],"tags":[9524,9525,6601],"class_list":["post-55208","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nab-league","category-news","tag-nab-league-run-home","tag-predicted-finish-2019-nab-league","tag-run-home"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55208","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55208"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55208\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54953"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55208"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55208"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/central.rookieme.com\/afl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55208"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}