It’s the Final(s) Calculator! AFLW Season 7 Edition
THERE is one round left in Season 7 of AFLW, and like any good season, there are so many different scenarios that could play out on this final weekend.
Let us take a look at the teams still in contention for finals, how high they might finish this season and how week one of finals may end up looking.
Right off the bat we need to mention Gold Coast. The Suns can still make finals at the time of writing, but it is more unlikely than otherwise that they will, so they will not be featured in this article.
8th – Western Bulldogs
The fate of the Bulldogs is entirely in their own hands, which is not necessarily a bad thing.
Because of percentage, they know they cannot finish higher than fifth, even with a win, so their equation coming into tonight’s clash with Carlton is about as straight forward as you can get. Win, and they are definitely in the eight.
Lose however, and they realistically should still make finals. Why? Because in order for Gold Coast to even catch up to the Bulldogs, they need to score more than 56 points, and that is not including any score from the Bulldogs’ game or any that GWS score against them.
7th – Geelong
Geelong takes on the bottom placed Sydney Swans this weekend, so with a win likely in the bag, it all comes down to percentage as to where they finish.
The Cats’ percentage is not great compared to those teams around them, so realistically the highest Geelong can actually finish is fifth, and that’s if all the results go their way.
If they somehow lose, they will likely stay exactly where they are in seventh unless the Bulldogs have a absolutely huge win over Carlton.
6th – North Melbourne
Of the teams outside the four chasing a spot in it, North Melbourne is in the best position.
They face Richmond, and with both teams having a fairly healthy percentage, it will realistically come down to who wins out of those two as to who claims that prized fourth position.
If North lose, they will finish fifth or sixth. All depends on how Collingwood go tonight.
5th – Collingwood
The fate of several teams finals series is on Collingwood’s shoulders tonight when the Magpies face Brisbane tonight, including their own.
They have to win to give themselves any hope of finishing in the top four, but even then if Adelaide and Richmond win, it will not matter as their percentage will ensure they finish above the Magpies.
If Collingwood loses, it will come down to percentage as to where the Pies finish inside the bottom half of the top eight.
4th – Richmond
Much of what can be said about North Melbourne’s predicament can also be said about the Tigers.
They face North of course, and with both teams having a fairly healthy percentage, it will realistically come down to who wins out of those two as to who claims that prized fourth position.
If Richmond loses, its healthy percentage will see yield a finish somewhere in the top half of the bottom half of the eight.
3rd – Adelaide
The equation is pretty simple for Adelaide. Win, and the Crows book a spot in the top four.
They could still make top two if either Brisbane or Melbourne slip up, but they would have to belt St Kilda beyond belief in order to do so, which is easier said than done, so realistically third is theirs if they win.
Lose, and they should still stay in the top four, but it all comes down to percentage as to whether that is third or fourth.
2nd – Melbourne
Things are pretty straight forward for last year’s runners up. Win against West Coast, and they are guaranteed a top two spot.
Whether that is first or second will depend on how Brisbane goes against Collingwood tonight. Thankfully for the Dees, they play second so by the time they run out onto Casey tomorrow, they will know exactly what they have to do to snatch top spot.
If the Dees cannot beat the Eagles, then it will come down to percentage but they have likely done enough to earn a top two spot regardless. There is a far gap between themselves and the Crows.
1st – Brisbane
The equation is pretty straight forward for Brisbane too. Win tonight, and the Lions are guaranteed a top two spot.
Whether that is first or second again depends on how Melbourne fares against West Coast. Thankfully for Brisbane, although it plays first, the wait to find out its fate will not be too long as Melbourne plays the first game up tomorrow.
If Brisbane loses to the Pies, the Lions should still realistically finish top two on the table even with an Adelaide win over St Kilda, because there is an almost 100 per cent gap between the teams.